Forsa poll of 3 November 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 29 Oct 2018 to 2 Nov 2018
- Respondents
- 2,502
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU27.0%+1.0
- Grüne24.0%+3.0
- SPD13.0%-1.0
- AfD13.0%-1.0
- FDP9.0%±0
- Linke9.0%-1.0
- Others5.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 27 Oct 2018.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by Grüne on 24.0%. 2,502 people were surveyed from 29 Oct 2018 to 2 Nov 2018, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 27 Oct 2018, Grüne gains 3.0 points, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has Grüne 6.4 points higher and AfD 3.4 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 3 Nov 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +6.4average 17.6
- AfD -3.4average 16.4
- SPD -2.5average 15.5
- Linke -1.1average 10.1
- CDU/CSU +0.5average 26.5
- FDP -0.2average 9.2
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU179
- Grüne159
- SPD86
- AfD86
- FDP60
- Linke60
- CDU/CSU + Grüne338 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD351 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD331 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP325 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke325 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP325 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke325 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.