Forsa poll of 20 October 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 15 to 19 Oct 2018
- Respondents
- 2,502
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU27.0%-1.0
- Grüne21.0%+2.0
- AfD15.0%+1.0
- SPD14.0%-2.0
- FDP9.0%±0
- Linke9.0%±0
- Others5.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 13 Oct 2018.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by Grüne on 21.0%. 2,502 people were surveyed from 15 to 19 Oct 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 13 Oct 2018, Grüne gains 2.0 points, SPD loses 2.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has Grüne 4.0 points higher and SPD 1.7 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 20 Oct 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +4.0average 17.0
- SPD -1.7average 15.7
- AfD -1.6average 16.6
- Linke -1.0average 10.0
- CDU/CSU +0.3average 26.7
- FDP -0.3average 9.3
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU179
- Grüne139
- AfD99
- SPD93
- FDP60
- Linke60
- CDU/CSU + Grüne318 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + SPD371 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP338 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke338 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP332 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke332 of 630
- Grüne + AfD + SPD331 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.