Forsa poll of 13 October 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 8 to 12 Oct 2018
- Respondents
- 2,504
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU28.0%±0
- Grüne19.0%+1.0
- SPD16.0%±0
- AfD14.0%±0
- FDP9.0%±0
- Linke9.0%-1.0
- Others5.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 6 Oct 2018.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by Grüne on 19.0%. 2,504 people were surveyed from 8 to 12 Oct 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 6 Oct 2018, Grüne gains 1.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has Grüne 3.5 points higher and AfD 2.6 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 13 Oct 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +3.5average 15.5
- AfD -2.6average 16.6
- Linke -1.3average 10.3
- CDU/CSU +0.7average 27.3
- SPD -0.7average 16.7
- FDP -0.1average 9.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU185
- Grüne126
- SPD106
- AfD93
- FDP60
- Linke60
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD417 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD404 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD384 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP371 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke371 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP351 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke351 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP338 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke338 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD325 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.