Forsa poll of 6 October 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 1 to 5 Oct 2018
- Respondents
- 2,002
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU28.0%±0
- Grüne18.0%+1.0
- SPD16.0%±0
- AfD14.0%-1.0
- Linke10.0%±0
- FDP9.0%±0
- Others5.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 29 Sep 2018.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by Grüne on 18.0%. 2,002 people were surveyed from 1 to 5 Oct 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 29 Sep 2018, Grüne gains 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has Grüne 3.0 points higher and AfD 3.0 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 6 Oct 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +3.0average 15.0
- AfD -3.0average 17.0
- SPD -1.0average 17.0
- CDU/CSU +0.3average 27.7
- Linke -0.2average 10.2
- FDP +0.1average 8.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU186
- Grüne119
- SPD106
- AfD93
- Linke66
- FDP60
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD411 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD398 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD385 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke371 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP339 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.