Forsa poll of 29 September 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 24 to 28 Sep 2018
- Respondents
- 2,501
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU28.0%±0
- Grüne17.0%+1.0
- SPD16.0%-1.0
- AfD15.0%±0
- Linke10.0%±0
- FDP9.0%±0
- Others5.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 22 Sep 2018.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by Grüne on 17.0%. 2,501 people were surveyed from 24 to 28 Sep 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 22 Sep 2018, Grüne gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has Grüne 2.3 points higher and AfD 1.9 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 29 Sep 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +2.3average 14.7
- AfD -1.9average 16.9
- SPD -1.0average 17.0
- Linke -0.3average 10.3
- CDU/CSU -0.1average 28.1
- FDP ±0average 9.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU186
- Grüne113
- SPD106
- AfD99
- Linke66
- FDP60
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD405 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD398 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD391 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP359 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke351 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP345 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.