Forsa poll of 22 September 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 17 to 21 Sep 2018
- Respondents
- 2,502
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU28.0%-2.0
- SPD17.0%-1.0
- Grüne16.0%±0
- AfD15.0%+2.0
- Linke10.0%±0
- FDP9.0%+1.0
- Others5.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 15 Sep 2018.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by SPD on 17.0%. 2,502 people were surveyed from 17 to 21 Sep 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 15 Sep 2018, CDU/CSU loses 2.0 points, AfD gains 2.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has Grüne 1.8 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 22 Sep 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +1.8average 14.2
- AfD -1.2average 16.2
- CDU/CSU -0.9average 28.9
- SPD -0.7average 17.7
- Linke +0.2average 9.8
- FDP +0.2average 8.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU186
- SPD113
- Grüne106
- AfD99
- Linke66
- FDP60
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne405 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD398 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD391 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP359 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke351 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP345 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.