Forsa poll of 15 September 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 10 to 14 Sep 2018
- Respondents
- 2,507
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU30.0%-1.0
- SPD18.0%+2.0
- Grüne16.0%+1.0
- AfD13.0%-1.0
- Linke10.0%±0
- FDP8.0%-1.0
- Others5.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 8 Sep 2018.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by SPD on 18.0%. 2,507 people were surveyed from 10 to 14 Sep 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 8 Sep 2018, SPD gains 2.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has AfD 2.9 points lower and Grüne 2.2 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 15 Sep 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD -2.9average 15.9
- Grüne +2.2average 13.8
- CDU/CSU +0.6average 29.4
- FDP -0.5average 8.5
- Linke +0.3average 9.7
- SPD -0.1average 18.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU199
- SPD120
- Grüne106
- AfD86
- Linke66
- FDP53
- CDU/CSU + SPD319 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD391 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke371 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke351 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP338 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.