Forsa poll of 8 September 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 3 to 7 Sep 2018
- Respondents
- 2,507
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU31.0%+1.0
- SPD16.0%-1.0
- Grüne15.0%-1.0
- AfD14.0%-2.0
- Linke10.0%+2.0
- FDP9.0%+1.0
- Others5.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 1 Sep 2018.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 31.0%, followed by SPD on 16.0%. 2,507 people were surveyed from 3 to 7 Sep 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 1 Sep 2018, AfD loses 2.0 points, Linke gains 2.0 points, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has AfD 2.0 points lower and SPD 1.6 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 8 Sep 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD -2.0average 16.0
- SPD -1.6average 17.6
- Grüne +1.5average 13.5
- CDU/CSU +1.4average 29.6
- Linke +0.3average 9.7
- FDP +0.2average 8.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU206
- SPD106
- Grüne99
- AfD93
- Linke66
- FDP60
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne411 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD405 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD398 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke378 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP372 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke371 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP359 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP332 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.