Forsa poll of 1 September 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 27 to 31 Aug 2018
- Respondents
- 2,503
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU30.0%±0
- SPD17.0%-1.0
- Grüne16.0%+1.0
- AfD16.0%+2.0
- FDP8.0%±0
- Linke8.0%-2.0
- Others5.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 25 Aug 2018.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by SPD on 17.0%. 2,503 people were surveyed from 27 to 31 Aug 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 25 Aug 2018, AfD gains 2.0 points, Linke loses 2.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has Grüne 2.5 points higher and Linke 1.5 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 1 Sep 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +2.5average 13.5
- Linke -1.5average 9.5
- SPD -0.9average 17.9
- FDP -0.9average 8.9
- CDU/CSU +0.4average 29.6
- AfD -0.1average 16.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU199
- SPD113
- Grüne106
- AfD106
- FDP53
- Linke53
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne418 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD418 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD411 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke358 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD325 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.