Forsa poll of 25 August 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 20 to 24 Aug 2018
- Respondents
- 2,502
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU30.0%±0
- SPD18.0%±0
- Grüne15.0%±0
- AfD14.0%±0
- Linke10.0%±0
- FDP8.0%-1.0
- Others5.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 18 Aug 2018.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by SPD on 18.0%. 2,502 people were surveyed from 20 to 24 Aug 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 18 Aug 2018, FDP loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has AfD 1.8 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 25 Aug 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD -1.8average 15.8
- Grüne +1.4average 13.6
- FDP -0.9average 8.9
- SPD +0.3average 17.7
- CDU/CSU +0.1average 29.9
- Linke +0.1average 9.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU199
- SPD119
- Grüne100
- AfD93
- Linke66
- FDP53
- CDU/CSU + SPD318 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD392 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.