Forsa poll of 18 August 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 13 to 17 Aug 2018
- Respondents
- 2,503
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU30.0%±0
- SPD18.0%±0
- Grüne15.0%±0
- AfD14.0%±0
- Linke10.0%+1.0
- FDP9.0%-1.0
- Others4.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 11 Aug 2018.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by SPD on 18.0%. 2,503 people were surveyed from 13 to 17 Aug 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 11 Aug 2018, Linke gains 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has AfD 2.0 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 18 Aug 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD -2.0average 16.0
- Grüne +1.4average 13.6
- SPD +0.3average 17.7
- Linke +0.3average 9.7
- FDP +0.3average 8.7
- CDU/CSU ±0average 30.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU197
- SPD118
- Grüne98
- AfD92
- Linke66
- FDP59
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne413 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD407 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD387 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke381 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP374 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke361 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke355 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP354 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP348 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.