Forsa poll of 11 August 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 6 to 10 Aug 2018
- Respondents
- 2,505
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU30.0%-1.0
- SPD18.0%±0
- Grüne15.0%+2.0
- AfD14.0%±0
- FDP10.0%±0
- Linke9.0%±0
- Others4.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 4 Aug 2018.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by SPD on 18.0%. 2,505 people were surveyed from 6 to 10 Aug 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 4 Aug 2018, Grüne gains 2.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has AfD 2.0 points lower and FDP 1.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 11 Aug 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD -2.0average 16.0
- FDP +1.5average 8.5
- Grüne +1.4average 13.6
- Linke -0.9average 9.9
- SPD +0.3average 17.7
- CDU/CSU -0.2average 30.2
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU197
- SPD118
- Grüne98
- AfD92
- FDP66
- Linke59
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne413 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD407 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD387 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP381 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke374 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP361 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP355 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke354 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke348 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.