Forsa poll of 28 July 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 23 to 27 Jul 2018
- Respondents
- 2,505
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU32.0%+1.0
- SPD18.0%±0
- AfD14.0%-1.0
- Grüne13.0%±0
- FDP9.0%+1.0
- Linke9.0%-1.0
- Others5.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 21 Jul 2018.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 32.0%, followed by SPD on 18.0%. 2,505 people were surveyed from 23 to 27 Jul 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 21 Jul 2018, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has CDU/CSU 2.1 points higher and AfD 2.1 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 28 Jul 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +2.1average 29.9
- AfD -2.1average 16.1
- Linke -1.0average 10.0
- FDP +0.3average 8.7
- SPD ±0average 18.0
- Grüne ±0average 13.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU212
- SPD119
- AfD93
- Grüne86
- FDP60
- Linke60
- CDU/CSU + SPD331 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne391 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke332 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.