Single poll
Forsa poll of 21 July 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 16 to 20 Jul 2018
- Respondents
- 2,505
- Method
- Unbekannt
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 31.0%, followed by SPD on 18.0%. 2,505 people were surveyed from 16 to 20 Jul 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 14 Jul 2018, SPD gains 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 21 Jul 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +1.0average 30.0
- AfD -1.0average 16.0
- FDP -0.8average 8.8
- Grüne +0.3average 12.7
- SPD ±0average 18.0
- Linke ±0average 10.0
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU206
- SPD119
- AfD100
- Grüne86
- Linke66
- FDP53
- CDU/CSU + SPD325 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne392 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke372 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP359 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP325 of 630
More
More polls
← Forsa, 14 Jul 2018Forsa, 28 Jul 2018 →Average of all pollsters: BundestagSunday question BundestagChronicle 2018
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.