Forsa poll of 14 July 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 9 to 13 Jul 2018
- Respondents
- 2,505
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU31.0%+1.0
- SPD17.0%±0
- AfD16.0%±0
- Grüne13.0%±0
- FDP9.0%-1.0
- Linke9.0%±0
- Others5.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 7 Jul 2018.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 31.0%, followed by SPD on 17.0%. 2,505 people were surveyed from 9 to 13 Jul 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 7 Jul 2018, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 14 Jul 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Linke -1.2average 10.2
- SPD -1.0average 18.0
- CDU/CSU +0.6average 30.4
- Grüne +0.5average 12.5
- AfD +0.2average 15.8
- FDP +0.2average 8.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU205
- SPD113
- AfD106
- Grüne86
- FDP60
- Linke60
- CDU/CSU + SPD318 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne397 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP371 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke371 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP351 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke351 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke325 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.