Forsa poll of 7 July 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 2 to 6 Jul 2018
- Respondents
- 2,502
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU30.0%-1.0
- SPD17.0%±0
- AfD16.0%+1.0
- Grüne13.0%+1.0
- FDP10.0%±0
- Linke9.0%-1.0
- Others5.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 30 Jun 2018.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by SPD on 17.0%. 2,502 people were surveyed from 2 to 6 Jul 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 30 Jun 2018, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 7 Jul 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -1.2average 18.2
- FDP +1.0average 9.0
- Linke -0.9average 9.9
- CDU/CSU -0.5average 30.5
- AfD +0.5average 15.5
- Grüne +0.5average 12.5
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU199
- SPD113
- AfD106
- Grüne86
- FDP66
- Linke60
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD418 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne398 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne391 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP378 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke372 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP371 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP351 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke325 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.