Forsa poll of 30 June 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 25 to 29 Jun 2018
- Respondents
- 2,508
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU31.0%+1.0
- SPD17.0%±0
- AfD15.0%±0
- Grüne12.0%-1.0
- FDP10.0%+1.0
- Linke10.0%±0
- Others5.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 24 Jun 2018.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 31.0%, followed by SPD on 17.0%. 2,508 people were surveyed from 25 to 29 Jun 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 24 Jun 2018, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 30 Jun 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -1.4average 18.4
- FDP +1.0average 9.0
- CDU/CSU -0.5average 31.5
- AfD +0.4average 14.6
- Grüne -0.2average 12.2
- Linke ±0average 10.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU206
- SPD113
- AfD99
- Grüne80
- FDP66
- Linke66
- CDU/CSU + SPD319 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne385 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP371 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke371 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke338 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.