Single poll

Forsa poll of 24 June 2018 for the federal election

Commissioned by
RTL / n-tv
Fieldwork period
18 to 22 Jun 2018
Respondents
2,503
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU30.0%±0
  • SPD17.0%+1.0
  • AfD15.0%±0
  • Grüne13.0%-1.0
  • Linke10.0%+1.0
  • FDP9.0%-1.0
  • Others6.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 16 Jun 2018.

In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by SPD on 17.0%. 2,503 people were surveyed from 18 to 22 Jun 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 16 Jun 2018, SPD gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has CDU/CSU 2.0 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 24 Jun 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU -2.0average 32.0
  • SPD -1.2average 18.2
  • Grüne +1.1average 11.9
  • Linke -0.3average 10.3
  • FDP +0.3average 8.7
  • AfD +0.2average 14.8
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 201 seatsSPD: 114 seatsAfD: 101 seatsGrüne: 87 seatsLinke: 67 seatsFDP: 60 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU201
  • SPD114
  • AfD101
  • Grüne87
  • Linke67
  • FDP60
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD416 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne402 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne389 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke382 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP375 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke369 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP362 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke355 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP348 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP328 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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