Forsa poll of 16 June 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 14 to 15 Jun 2018
- Respondents
- 1,001
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU30.0%-3.0
- SPD16.0%-2.0
- AfD15.0%+2.0
- Grüne14.0%+2.0
- FDP10.0%+1.0
- Linke9.0%-1.0
- Others6.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 9 Jun 2018.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by SPD on 16.0%. 1,001 people were surveyed from 14 to 15 Jun 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 9 Jun 2018, CDU/CSU loses 3.0 points, SPD loses 2.0 points, AfD gains 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has CDU/CSU 2.7 points lower and Grüne 2.2 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 16 Jun 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -2.7average 32.7
- Grüne +2.2average 11.8
- SPD -1.8average 17.8
- FDP +1.5average 8.5
- Linke -1.5average 10.5
- AfD +0.5average 14.5
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU201
- SPD107
- AfD101
- Grüne94
- FDP67
- Linke60
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD409 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne402 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne396 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP375 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP369 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke368 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke362 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP362 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke355 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke328 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.