Single poll

Forsa poll of 9 June 2018 for the federal election

Commissioned by
RTL / n-tv
Fieldwork period
4 to 8 Jun 2018
Respondents
2,504
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU33.0%-1.0
  • SPD18.0%±0
  • AfD13.0%±0
  • Grüne12.0%±0
  • Linke10.0%±0
  • FDP9.0%+1.0
  • Others5.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 2 Jun 2018.

In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 33.0%, followed by SPD on 18.0%. 2,504 people were surveyed from 4 to 8 Jun 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 2 Jun 2018, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 9 Jun 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • AfD -1.2average 14.2
  • Linke -0.5average 10.5
  • FDP +0.5average 8.5
  • SPD +0.2average 17.8
  • CDU/CSU +0.1average 32.9
  • Grüne +0.1average 11.9
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 219 seatsSPD: 119 seatsAfD: 86 seatsGrüne: 80 seatsLinke: 66 seatsFDP: 60 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU219
  • SPD119
  • AfD86
  • Grüne80
  • Linke66
  • FDP60
  • CDU/CSU + SPD338 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne385 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke371 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP365 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke365 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP359 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP345 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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