Single poll

Forsa poll of 2 June 2018 for the federal election

Commissioned by
RTL / n-tv
Fieldwork period
28 May 2018 to 1 Jun 2018
Respondents
2,506
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU34.0%+1.0
  • SPD18.0%±0
  • AfD13.0%±0
  • Grüne12.0%-1.0
  • Linke10.0%±0
  • FDP8.0%±0
  • Others5.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 27 May 2018.

In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 34.0%, followed by SPD on 18.0%. 2,506 people were surveyed from 28 May 2018 to 1 Jun 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 27 May 2018, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 2 Jun 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • AfD -1.4average 14.4
  • CDU/CSU +1.0average 33.0
  • Linke -0.4average 10.4
  • FDP -0.4average 8.4
  • SPD +0.3average 17.7
  • Grüne +0.1average 11.9
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 226 seatsSPD: 119 seatsAfD: 86 seatsGrüne: 80 seatsLinke: 66 seatsFDP: 53 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU226
  • SPD119
  • AfD86
  • Grüne80
  • Linke66
  • FDP53
  • CDU/CSU + SPD345 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne392 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke378 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke372 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP365 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP359 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP345 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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