Forsa poll of 27 May 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 22 to 25 May 2018
- Respondents
- 2,002
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU33.0%±0
- SPD18.0%±0
- Grüne13.0%+1.0
- AfD13.0%±0
- Linke10.0%+1.0
- FDP8.0%-1.0
- Others5.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 19 May 2018.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 33.0%, followed by SPD on 18.0%. 2,002 people were surveyed from 22 to 25 May 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 19 May 2018, Grüne gains 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 27 May 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD -1.0average 14.0
- Grüne +0.9average 12.1
- FDP -0.4average 8.4
- CDU/CSU -0.2average 33.2
- SPD +0.2average 17.8
- Linke -0.1average 10.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU219
- SPD120
- Grüne86
- AfD86
- Linke66
- FDP53
- CDU/CSU + SPD339 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD391 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke371 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke371 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP338 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.