Forsa poll of 19 May 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 14 to 18 May 2018
- Respondents
- 2,502
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU33.0%-1.0
- SPD18.0%+1.0
- AfD13.0%±0
- Grüne12.0%-1.0
- FDP9.0%+1.0
- Linke9.0%-1.0
- Others6.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 12 May 2018.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 33.0%, followed by SPD on 18.0%. 2,502 people were surveyed from 14 to 18 May 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 12 May 2018, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 19 May 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD -1.1average 14.1
- Linke -1.1average 10.1
- CDU/CSU +0.2average 32.8
- Grüne +0.2average 11.8
- FDP +0.2average 8.8
- SPD ±0average 18.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU221
- SPD121
- AfD87
- Grüne81
- FDP60
- Linke60
- CDU/CSU + SPD342 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne389 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP368 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke368 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP362 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke362 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke341 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.