Forsa poll of 12 May 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 7 to 11 May 2018
- Respondents
- 2,004
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU34.0%±0
- SPD17.0%-1.0
- Grüne13.0%+2.0
- AfD13.0%±0
- Linke10.0%±0
- FDP8.0%-1.0
- Others5.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 5 May 2018.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 34.0%, followed by SPD on 17.0%. 2,004 people were surveyed from 7 to 11 May 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 5 May 2018, Grüne gains 2.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 12 May 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +1.4average 32.6
- SPD -1.3average 18.3
- Grüne +1.2average 11.8
- AfD -1.1average 14.1
- FDP -0.8average 8.8
- Linke -0.1average 10.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU226
- SPD113
- Grüne86
- AfD86
- Linke66
- FDP53
- CDU/CSU + SPD339 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD398 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke378 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke378 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP345 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.