Forsa poll of 5 May 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 30 Apr 2018 to 4 May 2018
- Respondents
- 2,003
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU34.0%±0
- SPD18.0%+1.0
- AfD13.0%+1.0
- Grüne11.0%-2.0
- Linke10.0%±0
- FDP9.0%±0
- Others5.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 28 Apr 2018.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 34.0%, followed by SPD on 18.0%. 2,003 people were surveyed from 30 Apr 2018 to 4 May 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 28 Apr 2018, Grüne loses 2.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 5 May 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +1.4average 32.6
- AfD -1.2average 14.2
- Grüne -0.7average 11.7
- Linke -0.2average 10.2
- SPD -0.1average 18.1
- FDP ±0average 9.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU226
- SPD119
- AfD86
- Grüne73
- Linke66
- FDP60
- CDU/CSU + SPD345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne385 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke378 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP372 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP359 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP352 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.