Single poll

Forsa poll of 28 April 2018 for the federal election

Commissioned by
RTL / n-tv
Fieldwork period
23 to 27 Apr 2018
Respondents
2,507
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU34.0%±0
  • SPD17.0%-1.0
  • Grüne13.0%±0
  • AfD12.0%±0
  • Linke10.0%±0
  • FDP9.0%±0
  • Others5.0%+1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 23 Apr 2018.

In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 34.0%, followed by SPD on 17.0%. 2,507 people were surveyed from 23 to 27 Apr 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 23 Apr 2018, SPD loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has AfD 2.2 points lower and CDU/CSU 1.8 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 28 Apr 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • AfD -2.2average 14.2
  • CDU/CSU +1.8average 32.2
  • SPD -1.3average 18.3
  • Grüne +1.2average 11.8
  • Linke -0.3average 10.3
  • FDP -0.2average 9.2
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 225 seatsSPD: 113 seatsGrüne: 86 seatsAfD: 80 seatsLinke: 66 seatsFDP: 60 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU225
  • SPD113
  • Grüne86
  • AfD80
  • Linke66
  • FDP60
  • CDU/CSU + SPD338 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD391 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke377 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP371 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke371 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP365 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP351 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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