Single poll

Forsa poll of 23 April 2018 for the federal election

Commissioned by
RTL / n-tv
Fieldwork period
16 to 20 Apr 2018
Respondents
2,503
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU34.0%±0
  • SPD18.0%-1.0
  • Grüne13.0%+1.0
  • AfD12.0%±0
  • Linke10.0%±0
  • FDP9.0%±0
  • Others4.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 14 Apr 2018.

In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 34.0%, followed by SPD on 18.0%. 2,503 people were surveyed from 16 to 20 Apr 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 14 Apr 2018, SPD loses 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has AfD 2.1 points lower and CDU/CSU 1.6 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 23 Apr 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • AfD -2.1average 14.1
  • CDU/CSU +1.6average 32.4
  • Grüne +1.4average 11.6
  • Linke -0.4average 10.4
  • FDP -0.3average 9.3
  • SPD -0.1average 18.1
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 223 seatsSPD: 118 seatsGrüne: 85 seatsAfD: 79 seatsLinke: 66 seatsFDP: 59 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU223
  • SPD118
  • Grüne85
  • AfD79
  • Linke66
  • FDP59
  • CDU/CSU + SPD341 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD387 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke374 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke368 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP367 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP361 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP348 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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