Forsa poll of 5 March 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 4 to 5 Mar 2018
- Respondents
- 1,502
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU34.0%-1.0
- SPD19.0%+1.0
- AfD13.0%±0
- Grüne12.0%±0
- FDP9.0%±0
- Linke9.0%±0
- Others4.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 3 Mar 2018.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 34.0%, followed by SPD on 19.0%. 1,502 people were surveyed from 4 to 5 Mar 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 3 Mar 2018, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has SPD 2.0 points higher and Linke 1.5 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 5 Mar 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +2.0average 17.0
- Linke -1.5average 10.5
- AfD -1.3average 14.3
- CDU/CSU +1.2average 32.8
- Grüne -0.1average 12.1
- FDP ±0average 9.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU223
- SPD125
- AfD85
- Grüne79
- FDP59
- Linke59
- CDU/CSU + SPD348 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne387 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP367 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke367 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP361 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke361 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke341 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.