Forsa poll of 3 March 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 26 Feb 2018 to 2 Mar 2018
- Respondents
- 2,505
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU35.0%±0
- SPD18.0%±0
- AfD13.0%±0
- Grüne12.0%±0
- FDP9.0%±0
- Linke9.0%±0
- Others4.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 24 Feb 2018.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 35.0%, followed by SPD on 18.0%. 2,505 people were surveyed from 26 Feb 2018 to 2 Mar 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 24 Feb 2018, no party moves by more than one point.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has CDU/CSU 2.2 points higher and Linke 1.5 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 3 Mar 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +2.2average 32.8
- Linke -1.5average 10.5
- AfD -1.4average 14.4
- SPD +1.0average 17.0
- Grüne -0.1average 12.1
- FDP +0.1average 8.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU230
- SPD118
- AfD85
- Grüne79
- FDP59
- Linke59
- CDU/CSU + SPD348 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne394 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP374 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke374 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP368 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke368 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke348 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.