Forsa poll of 24 February 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 19 to 23 Feb 2018
- Respondents
- 2,506
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU35.0%+1.0
- SPD18.0%+2.0
- AfD13.0%±0
- Grüne12.0%-1.0
- FDP9.0%±0
- Linke9.0%-1.0
- Others4.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 17 Feb 2018.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 35.0%, followed by SPD on 18.0%. 2,506 people were surveyed from 19 to 23 Feb 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 17 Feb 2018, SPD gains 2.0 points, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has CDU/CSU 2.2 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 24 Feb 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +2.2average 32.8
- AfD -1.3average 14.3
- Linke -1.3average 10.3
- SPD +0.8average 17.2
- FDP -0.2average 9.2
- Grüne +0.1average 11.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU230
- SPD118
- AfD85
- Grüne79
- FDP59
- Linke59
- CDU/CSU + SPD348 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne394 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP374 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke374 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP368 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke368 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke348 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.