Forsa poll of 17 February 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 12 to 16 Feb 2018
- Respondents
- 2,501
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU34.0%+3.0
- SPD16.0%-2.0
- Grüne13.0%±0
- AfD13.0%±0
- Linke10.0%±0
- FDP9.0%-1.0
- Others5.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 9 Feb 2018.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 34.0%, followed by SPD on 16.0%. 2,501 people were surveyed from 12 to 16 Feb 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 9 Feb 2018, CDU/CSU gains 3.0 points, SPD loses 2.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has SPD 2.1 points lower and CDU/CSU 1.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 17 Feb 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -2.1average 18.1
- CDU/CSU +1.5average 32.5
- AfD -0.9average 13.9
- Grüne +0.8average 12.2
- Linke -0.3average 10.3
- FDP ±0average 9.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU226
- SPD106
- Grüne86
- AfD86
- Linke66
- FDP60
- CDU/CSU + SPD332 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD398 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke378 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke378 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP372 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP372 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP352 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.