Forsa poll of 9 February 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 7 to 8 Feb 2018
- Respondents
- 1,003
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU31.0%-2.0
- SPD18.0%±0
- Grüne13.0%±0
- AfD13.0%±0
- FDP10.0%+1.0
- Linke10.0%+1.0
- Others5.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 5 Feb 2018.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 31.0%, followed by SPD on 18.0%. 1,003 people were surveyed from 7 to 8 Feb 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 5 Feb 2018, CDU/CSU loses 2.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 9 Feb 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +1.4average 11.6
- CDU/CSU -1.3average 32.3
- FDP +1.0average 9.0
- SPD -0.9average 18.9
- AfD -0.8average 13.8
- Linke -0.2average 10.2
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU206
- SPD120
- Grüne86
- AfD86
- FDP66
- Linke66
- CDU/CSU + SPD326 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD378 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke338 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.