Forsa poll of 5 February 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 29 Jan 2018 to 2 Feb 2018
- Respondents
- 2,507
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU33.0%-1.0
- SPD18.0%±0
- Grüne13.0%+1.0
- AfD13.0%+1.0
- FDP9.0%±0
- Linke9.0%-1.0
- Others5.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 29 Jan 2018.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 33.0%, followed by SPD on 18.0%. 2,507 people were surveyed from 29 Jan 2018 to 2 Feb 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 29 Jan 2018, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has Grüne 1.6 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 5 Feb 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +1.6average 11.4
- Linke -1.3average 10.3
- SPD -1.2average 19.2
- AfD -0.8average 13.8
- CDU/CSU +0.7average 32.3
- FDP ±0average 9.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU219
- SPD119
- Grüne86
- AfD86
- FDP60
- Linke60
- CDU/CSU + SPD338 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD391 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke339 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.