Forsa poll of 29 January 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 22 to 26 Jan 2018
- Respondents
- 2,505
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU34.0%±0
- SPD18.0%+1.0
- Grüne12.0%±0
- AfD12.0%-1.0
- Linke10.0%-1.0
- FDP9.0%+1.0
- Others5.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 22 Jan 2018.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 34.0%, followed by SPD on 18.0%. 2,505 people were surveyed from 22 to 26 Jan 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 22 Jan 2018, SPD gains 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has SPD 1.5 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 29 Jan 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -1.5average 19.5
- AfD -1.1average 13.1
- Grüne +1.0average 11.0
- CDU/CSU +0.9average 33.1
- Linke -0.1average 10.1
- FDP +0.1average 8.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU225
- SPD119
- Grüne80
- AfD80
- Linke66
- FDP60
- CDU/CSU + SPD344 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD385 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke371 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke371 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP351 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.