Forsa poll of 12 March 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 5 to 9 Mar 2018
- Respondents
- 2,507
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU34.0%±0
- SPD18.0%-1.0
- Grüne13.0%+1.0
- AfD12.0%-1.0
- Linke10.0%+1.0
- FDP9.0%±0
- Others4.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 5 Mar 2018.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 34.0%, followed by SPD on 18.0%. 2,507 people were surveyed from 5 to 9 Mar 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 5 Mar 2018, SPD loses 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has AfD 2.0 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 12 Mar 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD -2.0average 14.0
- CDU/CSU +1.2average 32.8
- Grüne +0.9average 12.1
- SPD +0.7average 17.3
- Linke -0.4average 10.4
- FDP +0.1average 8.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU223
- SPD118
- Grüne85
- AfD79
- Linke66
- FDP59
- CDU/CSU + SPD341 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD387 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke374 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke368 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP367 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP361 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP348 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.