Forsa poll of 16 December 2017 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 11 to 15 Dec 2017
- Respondents
- 2,501
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU33.0%-1.0
- SPD20.0%±0
- Grüne12.0%±0
- AfD12.0%+1.0
- Linke10.0%+1.0
- FDP8.0%±0
- Others5.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 10 Dec 2017.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 33.0%, followed by SPD on 20.0%. 2,501 people were surveyed from 11 to 15 Dec 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 10 Dec 2017, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 16 Dec 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -1.4average 21.4
- FDP -1.4average 9.4
- CDU/CSU +1.1average 31.9
- Grüne +1.1average 10.9
- AfD -0.5average 12.5
- Linke +0.5average 9.5
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU219
- SPD133
- Grüne80
- AfD79
- Linke66
- FDP53
- CDU/CSU + SPD352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD378 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke364 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP351 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP338 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.