Single poll

Forsa poll of 27 December 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
RTL / n-tv
Fieldwork period
18 to 22 Dec 2017
Respondents
2,504
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU34.0%+1.0
  • SPD19.0%-1.0
  • Grüne12.0%±0
  • AfD12.0%±0
  • Linke10.0%±0
  • FDP8.0%±0
  • Others5.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 16 Dec 2017.

In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 34.0%, followed by SPD on 19.0%. 2,504 people were surveyed from 18 to 22 Dec 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 16 Dec 2017, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has SPD 2.1 points lower and CDU/CSU 1.7 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 27 Dec 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD -2.1average 21.1
  • CDU/CSU +1.7average 32.3
  • FDP -1.6average 9.6
  • Grüne +1.1average 10.9
  • Linke +0.6average 9.4
  • AfD -0.4average 12.4
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 225 seatsSPD: 126 seatsGrüne: 80 seatsAfD: 80 seatsLinke: 66 seatsFDP: 53 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU225
  • SPD126
  • Grüne80
  • AfD80
  • Linke66
  • FDP53
  • CDU/CSU + SPD351 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD385 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke371 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke371 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP358 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP358 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP344 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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