Single poll

Forsa poll of 10 December 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
RTL / n-tv
Fieldwork period
4 to 10 Dec 2017
Respondents
4,066
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU34.0%±0
  • SPD20.0%±0
  • Grüne12.0%-1.0
  • AfD11.0%+1.0
  • Linke9.0%±0
  • FDP8.0%±0
  • Others6.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 4 Dec 2017.

In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 34.0%, followed by SPD on 20.0%. 4,066 people were surveyed from 4 to 10 Dec 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 4 Dec 2017, Grüne loses 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has CDU/CSU 1.9 points higher and FDP 1.6 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 10 Dec 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU +1.9average 32.1
  • FDP -1.6average 9.6
  • SPD -1.4average 21.4
  • AfD -1.3average 12.3
  • Grüne +1.2average 10.8
  • Linke -0.8average 9.8
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 228 seatsSPD: 134 seatsGrüne: 80 seatsAfD: 74 seatsLinke: 60 seatsFDP: 54 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU228
  • SPD134
  • Grüne80
  • AfD74
  • Linke60
  • FDP54
  • CDU/CSU + SPD362 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD382 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke368 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP362 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke362 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP356 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP342 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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