Forsa poll of 4 December 2017 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 27 Nov 2017 to 1 Dec 2017
- Respondents
- 2,502
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU34.0%+1.0
- SPD20.0%+1.0
- Grüne13.0%+1.0
- AfD10.0%-1.0
- Linke9.0%±0
- FDP8.0%-2.0
- Others6.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 27 Nov 2017.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 34.0%, followed by SPD on 20.0%. 2,502 people were surveyed from 27 Nov 2017 to 1 Dec 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 27 Nov 2017, FDP loses 2.0 points, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has Grüne 2.4 points higher and FDP 2.1 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 4 Dec 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +2.4average 10.6
- FDP -2.1average 10.1
- AfD -1.8average 11.8
- CDU/CSU +1.7average 32.3
- SPD -1.2average 21.2
- Linke -0.6average 9.6
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU228
- SPD134
- Grüne87
- AfD67
- Linke60
- FDP54
- CDU/CSU + SPD362 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD382 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke375 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP369 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke355 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP342 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.