Single poll

Forsa poll of 6 November 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
RTL / n-tv
Fieldwork period
30 Oct 2017 to 3 Nov 2017
Respondents
2,005
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU32.0%-1.0
  • SPD21.0%+1.0
  • AfD12.0%+1.0
  • FDP11.0%±0
  • Grüne10.0%-1.0
  • Linke9.0%±0
  • Others5.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 1 Nov 2017.

In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 32.0%, followed by SPD on 21.0%. 2,005 people were surveyed from 30 Oct 2017 to 3 Nov 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 1 Nov 2017, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 6 Nov 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • AfD -0.5average 12.5
  • Linke -0.5average 9.5
  • CDU/CSU +0.4average 31.6
  • SPD +0.2average 20.8
  • Grüne -0.2average 10.2
  • FDP -0.1average 11.1
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 212 seatsSPD: 139 seatsAfD: 80 seatsFDP: 73 seatsGrüne: 66 seatsLinke: 60 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU212
  • SPD139
  • AfD80
  • FDP73
  • Grüne66
  • Linke60
  • CDU/CSU + SPD351 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP365 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne358 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke352 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Grüne351 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke345 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke338 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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