Forsa poll of 1 November 2017 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Stern / RTL
- Fieldwork period
- 23 to 27 Oct 2017
- Respondents
- 2,500
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU33.0%+2.0
- SPD20.0%-2.0
- FDP11.0%±0
- Grüne11.0%+1.0
- AfD11.0%±0
- Linke9.0%-1.0
- Others5.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 25 Oct 2017.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 33.0%, followed by SPD on 20.0%. 2,500 people were surveyed from 23 to 27 Oct 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by Stern / RTL.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 25 Oct 2017, CDU/CSU gains 2.0 points, SPD loses 2.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has Grüne 1.9 points higher and SPD 1.5 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 1 Nov 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +1.9average 9.1
- SPD -1.5average 21.5
- AfD -0.7average 11.7
- Linke -0.5average 9.5
- FDP +0.4average 10.6
- CDU/CSU -0.1average 33.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU219
- SPD132
- FDP73
- Grüne73
- AfD73
- Linke60
- CDU/CSU + SPD351 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Grüne365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke352 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.