Single poll

Forsa poll of 25 October 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
Stern / RTL
Fieldwork period
16 to 20 Oct 2017
Respondents
2,503
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU31.0%-1.0
  • SPD22.0%+2.0
  • FDP11.0%±0
  • AfD11.0%-1.0
  • Grüne10.0%-1.0
  • Linke10.0%+1.0
  • Others5.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 18 Oct 2017.

In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 31.0%, followed by SPD on 22.0%. 2,503 people were surveyed from 16 to 20 Oct 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by Stern / RTL.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 18 Oct 2017, SPD gains 2.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has CDU/CSU 2.2 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 25 Oct 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU -2.2average 33.2
  • Grüne +1.0average 9.0
  • AfD -0.7average 11.7
  • SPD +0.6average 21.4
  • FDP +0.4average 10.6
  • Linke +0.4average 9.6
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 206 seatsSPD: 146 seatsFDP: 73 seatsAfD: 73 seatsGrüne: 66 seatsLinke: 66 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU206
  • SPD146
  • FDP73
  • AfD73
  • Grüne66
  • Linke66
  • CDU/CSU + SPD352 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD352 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Grüne345 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke345 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne345 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke345 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke338 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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