Forsa poll of 18 October 2017 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Stern / RTL
- Fieldwork period
- 9 to 13 Oct 2017
- Respondents
- 2,501
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU32.0%±0
- SPD20.0%±0
- AfD12.0%±0
- FDP11.0%±0
- Grüne11.0%±0
- Linke9.0%±0
- Others5.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 11 Oct 2017.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 32.0%, followed by SPD on 20.0%. 2,501 people were surveyed from 9 to 13 Oct 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by Stern / RTL.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 11 Oct 2017, no party moves by more than one point.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has Grüne 2.3 points higher and CDU/CSU 2.2 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 18 Oct 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +2.3average 8.7
- CDU/CSU -2.2average 34.2
- SPD -1.6average 21.6
- AfD +1.0average 11.0
- FDP +0.9average 10.1
- Linke -0.6average 9.6
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU212
- SPD133
- AfD79
- FDP73
- Grüne73
- Linke60
- CDU/CSU + SPD345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP364 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne364 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Grüne358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke351 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke345 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.