Single poll

Forsa poll of 11 October 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
Stern / RTL
Fieldwork period
2 to 6 Oct 2017
Respondents
2,001
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU32.0%±0
  • SPD20.0%±0
  • AfD12.0%±0
  • FDP11.0%±0
  • Grüne11.0%+1.0
  • Linke9.0%-1.0
  • Others5.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 4 Oct 2017.

In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 32.0%, followed by SPD on 20.0%. 2,001 people were surveyed from 2 to 6 Oct 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by Stern / RTL.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 4 Oct 2017, Grüne gains 1.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has CDU/CSU 3.0 points lower and Grüne 2.8 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 11 Oct 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU -3.0average 35.0
  • Grüne +2.8average 8.2
  • SPD -1.8average 21.8
  • FDP +1.2average 9.8
  • AfD +0.9average 11.1
  • Linke -0.5average 9.5
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 212 seatsSPD: 133 seatsAfD: 79 seatsFDP: 73 seatsGrüne: 73 seatsLinke: 60 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU212
  • SPD133
  • AfD79
  • FDP73
  • Grüne73
  • Linke60
  • CDU/CSU + SPD345 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP364 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne364 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Grüne358 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke351 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke345 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke345 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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