Forsa poll of 4 October 2017 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Stern / RTL
- Fieldwork period
- 25 to 29 Sep 2017
- Respondents
- 2,005
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU32.0%-4.0
- SPD20.0%-2.0
- AfD12.0%+1.0
- FDP11.0%+1.5
- Grüne10.0%+3.0
- Linke10.0%+0.5
- Others5.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 22 Sep 2017.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 32.0%, followed by SPD on 20.0%. 2,005 people were surveyed from 25 to 29 Sep 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by Stern / RTL.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 22 Sep 2017, CDU/CSU loses 4.0 points, Grüne gains 3.0 points, SPD loses 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has CDU/CSU 3.0 points lower and SPD 1.6 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 4 Oct 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -3.0average 35.0
- SPD -1.6average 21.6
- Grüne +1.5average 8.5
- FDP +1.0average 10.0
- AfD +0.9average 11.1
- Linke +0.5average 9.5
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU212
- SPD133
- AfD80
- FDP73
- Grüne66
- Linke66
- CDU/CSU + SPD345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Grüne351 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke351 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke344 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.