Single poll

Forsa poll of 22 September 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
Stern / RTL
Fieldwork period
18 to 21 Sep 2017
Respondents
2,006
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU36.0%±0
  • SPD22.0%-1.0
  • AfD11.0%+2.0
  • FDP9.5%+0.5
  • Linke9.5%-0.5
  • Grüne7.0%-1.0
  • Others5.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 19 Sep 2017.

In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 36.0%, followed by SPD on 22.0%. 2,006 people were surveyed from 18 to 21 Sep 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by Stern / RTL.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 19 Sep 2017, AfD gains 2.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 22 Sep 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne -0.6average 7.6
  • CDU/CSU -0.3average 36.3
  • AfD +0.3average 10.7
  • SPD +0.2average 21.8
  • Linke -0.1average 9.6
  • FDP ±0average 9.5
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 239 seatsSPD: 146 seatsAfD: 73 seatsFDP: 63 seatsLinke: 63 seatsGrüne: 46 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU239
  • SPD146
  • AfD73
  • FDP63
  • Linke63
  • Grüne46
  • CDU/CSU + SPD385 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP375 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke375 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke365 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne358 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Grüne348 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne348 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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