Single poll

Forsa poll of 19 September 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
Stern / RTL
Fieldwork period
11 to 15 Sep 2017
Respondents
2,501
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU36.0%-1.0
  • SPD23.0%±0
  • Linke10.0%±0
  • FDP9.0%+1.0
  • AfD9.0%±0
  • Grüne8.0%±0
  • Others5.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 13 Sep 2017.

In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 36.0%, followed by SPD on 23.0%. 2,501 people were surveyed from 11 to 15 Sep 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by Stern / RTL.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 13 Sep 2017, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 19 Sep 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • AfD -1.2average 10.2
  • SPD +1.0average 22.0
  • CDU/CSU -0.6average 36.6
  • FDP -0.5average 9.5
  • Linke +0.4average 9.6
  • Grüne +0.1average 7.9
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 239 seatsSPD: 152 seatsLinke: 66 seatsFDP: 60 seatsAfD: 60 seatsGrüne: 53 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU239
  • SPD152
  • Linke66
  • FDP60
  • AfD60
  • Grüne53
  • CDU/CSU + SPD391 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP365 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + AfD365 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD359 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne358 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Grüne352 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne352 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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