Single poll

Forsa poll of 13 September 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
Stern / RTL
Fieldwork period
4 to 8 Sep 2017
Respondents
2,505
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU37.0%±0
  • SPD23.0%±0
  • Linke10.0%±0
  • AfD9.0%±0
  • FDP8.0%-1.0
  • Grüne8.0%±0
  • Others5.0%+1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 8 Sep 2017.

In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 37.0%, followed by SPD on 23.0%. 2,505 people were surveyed from 4 to 8 Sep 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by Stern / RTL.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 8 Sep 2017, FDP loses 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 13 Sep 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • FDP -1.0average 9.0
  • Linke +0.6average 9.4
  • CDU/CSU -0.4average 37.4
  • AfD -0.4average 9.4
  • Grüne +0.3average 7.7
  • SPD +0.2average 22.8
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 245 seatsSPD: 153 seatsLinke: 66 seatsAfD: 60 seatsFDP: 53 seatsGrüne: 53 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU245
  • SPD153
  • Linke66
  • AfD60
  • FDP53
  • Grüne53
  • CDU/CSU + SPD398 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + AfD371 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP364 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne364 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP358 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne358 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Grüne351 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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