Single poll

Forsa poll of 8 September 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
Stern / RTL
Fieldwork period
4 to 7 Sep 2017
Respondents
2,001
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU37.0%-1.0
  • SPD23.0%±0
  • Linke10.0%+1.0
  • FDP9.0%+1.0
  • AfD9.0%±0
  • Grüne8.0%±0
  • Others4.0%-1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 6 Sep 2017.

In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 37.0%, followed by SPD on 23.0%. 2,001 people were surveyed from 4 to 7 Sep 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by Stern / RTL.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 6 Sep 2017, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 8 Sep 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Linke +0.9average 9.1
  • Grüne +0.5average 7.5
  • CDU/CSU -0.3average 37.3
  • AfD -0.3average 9.3
  • SPD -0.1average 23.1
  • FDP ±0average 9.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 243 seatsSPD: 151 seatsLinke: 66 seatsFDP: 59 seatsAfD: 59 seatsGrüne: 52 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU243
  • SPD151
  • Linke66
  • FDP59
  • AfD59
  • Grüne52
  • CDU/CSU + SPD394 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP368 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + AfD368 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne361 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD361 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Grüne354 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne354 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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