Single poll

Forsa poll of 13 November 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
RTL / n-tv
Fieldwork period
6 to 10 Nov 2017
Respondents
2,506
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU32.0%±0
  • SPD20.0%-1.0
  • FDP12.0%+1.0
  • AfD12.0%±0
  • Grüne10.0%±0
  • Linke9.0%±0
  • Others5.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 6 Nov 2017.

In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 32.0%, followed by SPD on 20.0%. 2,506 people were surveyed from 6 to 10 Nov 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 6 Nov 2017, SPD loses 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 13 Nov 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD -1.1average 21.1
  • AfD -0.9average 12.9
  • FDP +0.8average 11.2
  • CDU/CSU +0.7average 31.3
  • Linke -0.6average 9.6
  • Grüne +0.1average 9.9
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 212 seatsSPD: 133 seatsFDP: 80 seatsAfD: 79 seatsGrüne: 66 seatsLinke: 60 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU212
  • SPD133
  • FDP80
  • AfD79
  • Grüne66
  • Linke60
  • CDU/CSU + SPD345 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD371 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Grüne358 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne357 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke352 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke351 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke338 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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